← Scenarios catalogue
Geopolitical··Severity 9

Deadly Russian strikes hit civilian targets in Ukraine

Russia intensified attacks across Ukraine, killing civilians and damaging homes and warehouses near Kyiv

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

77%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

Checking access status…