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Economic··Severity 7

Tariffs Could Bring Canada Auto "To Its Knees"

President Trump vowed this week to hike tariffs on Canadian cars, trucks, automotive parts, and steel to 50% at the start of next year as part of an ongoing trade war threat with the country. Linda Hasenfratz, Executive Chair of Linamar, says that after decades of free trade in automotives between he US and Canada, the implementation of such high tariffs would "cripple the industry." (Source: Bloomberg)

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

43%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

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