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Economic··Severity 7

Long-Dated Yields Edge Higher Ahead of Warsh Speech

US stocks drifted ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s address at Jackson Hole, with traders looking for clarity on his economic outlook and strategy for bringing inflation back to target. Freya Beamish, Chief Economist and Head: Macro Research at TS Lombard, talks about Jackson Hole and the bond market pricing in Bessent and Warsh. (Source: Bloomberg)

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

38%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

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