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Military··Severity 8

Two-year curfew lifted in Sudan's capital

The military authorities retook control of the city 18 months ago, but the conflict continues elsewhere.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

67%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: BBC World

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