Natural··Severity 9
Is Nepal facing another devastating flood from a new lake?
Glacier collapse in Nepal triggered flash floods, mudslides and a barrier lake where a landslide dammed the river.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
52%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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