Geopolitical··Severity 8
Board of Peace envoy Mladenov warns Gaza ceasefire risks ‘collapse’
In an interview with Al Jazeera, Nicolay Mladenov says that a return to war would be 'devastating'.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
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54%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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