Geopolitical··Severity 9
UN secretary-general worried about spread of conflict to Russia — spokesman
Stephane Dujarric also noted that the Secretary·General reiterates his call for an urgent de-escalation, leading to a full, immediate, and unconditional ceasefire, for just, for sustainable, and for comprehensive peace
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
61%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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