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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Iran War Hits 6 Month Mark

Bloomberg Businessweek looks back on the past six months of the US war with Iran, including how President Trump's timeline for the conflict has shifted as talks with Tehran remain mostly stalled. Bloomberg News White House and National Security Editor Michelle Jamrisko discusses how the war has evolved, and what might come next. (Source: Bloomberg)

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

56%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

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