Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran war live: IRGC asserts strait control, US enforces blockade
Iran's IRGC claims decisive control over the Strait of Hormuz as the US maintains its naval blockade.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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