Military··Severity 8
Putin orders military to plan for offensive towards Kyiv and Chernihiv
Ukraine says Russia has ordered military planners to prepare scenarios for an operation towards Kyiv and Chernihiv, but no offensive force has been detected in the areas.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
74%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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