Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russia attacks Ukraine with missiles and drones overnight, hitting 15 locations
Russia attacked Ukraine with Oniks and Iskander-M missiles and 267 drones overnight. Ukrainian air defence downed 233 drones, with hits recorded at 15 locations.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
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