Morning recap
Morning recap Good morning Middle East Eye readers, If you're just joining us, here are key developments from across the region: • Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has rejected the US’s repeated claims that the Strait of Hormuz is open, saying US officials are continuing to “lie” to “cover up their failures”. • The United States issued more Iran-related sanctions targeting one entity and one individual on Friday. • Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said Iran was ready for cooperation and understanding with regional countries, including Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. • Commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains about 90 percent below pre-conflict levels, with operators increasingly favouring a northern route, the UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) said. • US military redirected has 82 commercial vessels, disabled three and boarded two others to "ensure compliance" with its naval blockade of Iran, US Central Command (Centcom) said. • Israeli defence minister Israel Katz has said the Israeli military evacuated the residents and occupied the Jenin camp in the occupied West Bank. • US Democrats on Friday slammed the Trump administration for dragging out the war on Iran to its six month anniversary, warning Republicans would pay the price in the upcoming midterm elections. • Three Palestinians were injured on Friday night when Israeli settlers attacked the village of Al-Mughayyir, northeast of Ramallah.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Middle East Eye
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