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Geopolitical··Severity 9

Russia Tests Ukraine and NATO With Escalation

Russia is intensifying missile and drone attacks on Ukraine as Kyiv faces shortages of Patriot interceptors, raising concerns about its ability to defend against ballistic missiles heading into winter. Joining Bloomberg This Weekend are Bloomberg Economics Geoeconomics Analyst Alex Kokcharov and Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Defense Analyst Col. Wayne Sanders who discuss Russia’s hybrid attacks against NATO members and the challenge of building cheaper defenses against increasingly sophisticated drone warfare. (Source: Bloomberg)

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

80%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

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