Geopolitical··Severity 9
Iran’s leaders acknowledge economic toll of war, pledge diplomacy, defence
Iran's president said sanctions and the US naval blockade had caused exports and imports to slump by nearly 35 percent.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
75%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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