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Economic··Severity 7

Warsh Says Fed Must Act if Inflation Stays High

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh signaled the central bank is prepared to act if inflation fails to move clearly and quickly toward its 2% target, while describing the broader US economy as strong. On Bloomberg This Weekend Schwab Center Head of Macro Research & Strategy Kevin Gordon and Allsprings Global Investments Head of Equity Investments Ann Miletti say the remarks provided greater clarity on the Fed’s approach, with upcoming inflation data likely to be critical to whether policymakers raise rates in September. (Source: Bloomberg)

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

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41%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

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