Geopolitical··Severity 9
US forces strike Iranian rocket launchers in Strait of Hormuz as IRGC warns of 'retaliatory response'
The IRGC confirmed strikes had hit Larak Island and warned that the attack would be "met with a retaliatory response," per Iran's Fars news agency.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
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77%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Euronews
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