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Geopolitical··Severity 9

Morning recap

Morning recap Good morning Middle East Eye readers, If you're just joining us, here are key developments from across the region: • Iran’s supreme leader Mojtaba Khamenei says US and Israel were the “sworn enemies” of Muslim unity, stresses the need for greater solidarity across the Islamic world. • Iran’s president Masoud Pezeshkian said Tehran does not seek war but will stand firmly against any aggressor, stressing that no power can force a nation determined to resist to surrender. • Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps Navy rejected US claims that the Strait of Hormuz was open, calling them an attempt to control oil prices and conceal what it described as US failures. • Israeli strikes killed three Palestinians in al-Amal neighborhood in Khan Youni and Gaza City's Tal al-Hawa neighbourhood. • Masked Israeli settlers attacked an NBC News team and a Palestinian woman on Saturday in Jalud, a village near Nablus in the occupied West Bank. • Israel will attack Iran again if it tries to rebuild its nuclear or missile programmes, Israeli Energy Minister Eli Cohen said Saturday. • Israeli president calls Qusra settler attack 'stain on Israel's face', joining prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu in condemnation of the attack. • Amnesty calls for Palestinian paediatrician Dr Abu Safiya's release as he completes 600 days in Israeli detention. • Egypt, Kuwait urge return to US-Iran negotiations, de-escalation • Israeli forces close entrance to West Bank village while settlers steal sheep. • Amnesty urges action after Israeli defence minister Israel Katz threatens expulsions of people over Gaza kites.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

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Эскалация

79%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Middle East Eye

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