Military··Severity 9
US strikes Iran after a month, Iran hits US bases in retaliation
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said that multiple military personnel and civilians were killed or wounded Sunday night in a "US-Israeli" attack on Iran's southern Larak Island in Hormozgan province.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: CGTN World
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