Military··Severity 8
US launches first strike on Iran in weeks as it hits rocket launchers
The military said it struck an island in the Strait of Hormuz to prevent mines being laid in the crucial waterway
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
69%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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