Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran war live: Tehran stands firm over US sanctions; settlers besiege Qusra
Iran says it will rely equally on diplomacy and defence to protect its interests.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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