Geopolitical··Severity 9
Iran war live: IRGC attacks US bases in Jordan after US bombs Larak Island
US Central Command says its forces bombed two rocket launchers of the IRGC on Larak Island.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
75%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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