Geopolitical··Severity 8
Modi-Putin meeting at SCO: Can India-Russia ties hold?
Indian PM Modi meets Russia's President Putin at the SCO summit in Bishkek as Moscow and New Delhi face rising tensions with Washington — Russia over war-related sanctions, and India over its energy and trade choices.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
66%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: DW World
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