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Economic··Severity 7

Trump’s tariff fix leaves US trade policy in permanent flux

America’s use of Section 301 means future administrations cannot just leave charges untouched or allow them to lapse

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

38%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: FT World

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