Geopolitical··Severity 9
Russia attacks Ukraine with missile and over 120 drones, air defence downs 96, hits recorded
Russia attacked Ukraine overnight with a Kh-59 missile and 121 drones, with Ukrainian air defence shooting down 96 drones and strikes recorded at 11 locations.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
79%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Checking access status…