Geopolitical··Severity 9
Oil Gains as US and Iran Exchange Attacks
The US and Iran exchanged strikes as American forces hit Iranian rocket launchers and Iran responded by firing missiles toward Jordan. Bloomberg's Onur Ant has the latest. (Source: Bloomberg)
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
79%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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