Strait of Hormuz accessibility at the centre of US-Iran war flare-up
For the first time in a month, the US has launched strikes against Iran. The attack targeted the shipping island of Larak in the Strait of Hormuz. The US says it was aimed at preventing Tehran from placing sea mines in the strategic shipping lane, just days after Washington announced it had completed clearing explosives from there. Iran then reiterated its attacks, saying it had struck two US military bases in Jordan. FRANCE 24's Rochelle Ferguson-Bouyahi tells us more.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Checking access status…