Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran targets Jordan after first US attack in a month
The US has launched its first strikes on Iran in a month, hitting sites on Larak Island. Iran hit back targeting bases h
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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