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Geopolitical··Severity 9

Israel launches fresh attacks across southern Lebanon

Israel launches fresh attacks across southern Lebanon Israel carried out heavy bombing campaigns across several towns in southern Lebanon on Monday evening in its latest violation of prior ceasefire agreements, Lebanon’s National News Agency is reporting. What exactly is white phosphorus and why is it controversial? Read More » The agency, which is state-run, said that the attacks involved white phosphorus munitions and occured in the villages Zawtar al-Sharqiyah and Kafr Rumman, both in the Nabatieh district. White phosphorus is an incendiary weapon that causes severe burns, lung irritation and organ damage. Israel has repeatedly deployed the munition in Lebanon and Gaza , despite warnings from human rights monitors that doing so in civilian areas violates international law.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

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Эскалация

73%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Middle East Eye

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