← Scenarios catalogue
Geopolitical··Severity 9

Why has Greece signed a $3.5bn missile deal with Israel?

Analysts say Greece is concerned about threats posed by the US-Israel war on Iran and Turkiye's growing capabilities.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

71%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

Checking access status…