Natural··Severity 7
Argentina battles flood of contraband goods as Milei opens economy
Libertarian president’s stronger peso fuels jump in illicit imports, squeezing domestic businesses
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
32%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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