Geopolitical··Severity 8
S&P 500 Falls Amid Oil Spike as Middle East Conflict Intensifies
US stocks slumped on Monday, led by declines in interest-rate sensitive utilities shares while gains in energy companies offset losses elsewhere, after the US and Iran exchanged strikes for the first time in about a month.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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