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Geopolitical··Severity 8

S&P 500 Falls Amid Oil Spike as Middle East Conflict Intensifies

US stocks slumped on Monday, led by declines in interest-rate sensitive utilities shares while gains in energy companies offset losses elsewhere, after the US and Iran exchanged strikes for the first time in about a month.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

64%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

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