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Geopolitical··Severity 9

Senior Iranian source warns of harsher response to further US attacks

Senior Iranian source warns of harsher response to further US attacks A senior Iranian source told Reuters on Monday that overnight hostilities between the United States and Iran remained a “limited and contained confrontation”, while warning that Tehran was prepared to respond harshly to any further attack. The source, who has direct knowledge of Iranian decision-making and spoke anonymously, said conditions in the Strait of Hormuz “will become worse for vessels that violate” rules set by Tehran for passage through the waterway, adding that Iran’s retaliation against US strikes on Larak showed that “no target in the region is beyond Tehran’s reach”.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

79%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Middle East Eye

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