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Geopolitical··Severity 9

US considers limited strikes against Iran in Strait of Hormuz region — Axios

According to sources cited by the portal, the US goal is to prevent Iran from reconstituting its radar and missile capabilities to attack ships

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

72%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

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