Economic··Severity 7
Xi arrives for SCO summit, Putin meeting as regional bloc pushes back on US dominance
The Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit gets underway in Kyrgyzstan, with the leaders of China and Russia attending. But first: the US hosts G20 finance ministers, while America's massive debt may be painting its new central banker into a corner.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
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44%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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