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Military··Severity 9

An Attempt to Understand a Strange Visit to Moscow

On Aug. 25, CIA Director John Ratcliffe landed in Moscow for talks on the Ukraine war. It was a meeting meant to be noticed; he traveled on a U.S. Air Force Boeing C-17A Globemaster III, a heavy military transport plane, thus not being particularly subtle. These kinds of meetings have taken place before, most recently just before the Russian invasion of Ukraine. During that meeting, Washington warned Moscow not to invade, demonstrating that the attack was no surprise and that Russia would not be deterred. The Aug. 25 meeting was surrounded by speculation that Russia intended to launch some sort […] The post An Attempt to Understand a Strange Visit to Moscow appeared first on Geopolitical Futures .

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

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Эскалация

80%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Geopolitical Futures

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