Military··Severity 9
Middle East live: Oil prices extend gains as US-Iran tensions flare again
Oil prices rose further Tuesday as renewed military exchanges between the United States and Iran, coupled with Donald Trump’s vow to hit Tehran “hard,” fueled fears of a broader escalation after weeks of relative calm. Follow our live blog for the latest developments.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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