Geopolitical··Severity 8
Bessent says his goal to force Iran to strike deal with US through sanctions
The US treasury secretary said that Washington is going "to economically asphyxiate" Tehran
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
59%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
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