Geopolitical··Severity 8
Saudi and South Korean oil tankers hit in Strait of Hormuz
The increase in shipping attacks comes after a period of relative calm in the war
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
66%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
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