← Scenarios catalogue
Geopolitical··Severity 8

Iran to respond militarily if US tightens blockade — parliament speaker

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf believes the United States is currently focusing more on the psychological aspect of its economic war against Iran

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

64%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

Checking access status…