Geopolitical··Severity 9
US launches new strikes against Iran as war escalates
US says it is attacking Revolutionary Guards targets following 'attempted attacks' on ships in Strait of Hormuz.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
77%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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