Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran fuel crisis deepens amid war and sanctions
Long lines at fuel stations are spreading across Iran as war damage, import constraints and new US sanctions squeeze supplies.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: DW World
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