Geopolitical··Severity 9
'Massive' Russian missile, drone attacks on Kyiv
Russian air attacks killed 12 people and injured several more in Kyiv early on Tuesday, authorities said, in the sixth consecutive day of strikes on the Ukrainian capital. Russia, which began its full-scale invasion of its smaller neighbour in 2022, has escalated its air attacks in recent months, as gains made on the ground have slowed.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
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