Geopolitical··Severity 9
US launches further strikes on Iran as conflict flares up
Escalation pushes oil prices higher and sends Treasury yields to day’s highs as investors fret over new bout of inflation
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
74%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Checking access status…