Geopolitical··Severity 8
Oil Extends Advance as US-Iran Escalation Revives Hormuz Risks
Oil rose for a second session as fresh hostilities between the US and Iran raised concerns about prolonged disruptions to energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz, where crude carriers were hit by projectiles. Leslie Palti-Guzman, Founder at Energy Vista, discusses the outlook for global energy as conflict in the Middle East continues to disrupt flow. (Source: Bloomberg)
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
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