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Economic··Severity 7

Gold Holds Drop as Higher Oil, Bond Selloff Raise Rate-Hike Bets

Gold held a decline as attacks in the Middle East and a global bond selloff ratcheted up bets the Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates to rein in inflation.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

45%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

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