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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Diesel Jumps to Four-Month High With Supply Squeeze Worsening

Diesel rose to the highest in more than four months after fresh attacks on refineries further tightened a market already dealing with a drop in supply due to wars in the Middle East and Ukraine.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

59%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

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