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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Russian attack hits rail workers in new deadly strikes on Kyiv

Ukrainian officials say 20 people, including two children, were injured in the capital and the wider region.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

62%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: BBC World

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