Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran says it will return to June ceasefire deal if US does the same
Iran's President Pezeshkian made the offer at the SCO summit in Bishkek hours after Iran and the US exchanged fire over the weekend. IRGC's demands for control of Hormuz and war compensation remain conditions Washington is unlikely to accept.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
54%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Euronews
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