Military··Severity 8
Iran Accuses U.S. Military of a War Crime
Renewed fighting has taken a deadly turn after a month without major military action.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
69%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Foreign Policy
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