Geopolitical··Severity 9
Putin and Zelenskyy issue threats as strikes rock Ukraine, Russia
Putin accuses Zelenskyy of 'terrorism', while Ukraine warns foreign airlines against using Russian airspace.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
74%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
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